If you gauged political security by the barrage of news coverage, everyday Americans might believe that the Democrats are a lock to maintain control of the U.S. House following the 2020 elections. Nothing could be further from the truth. The political reality of the 2020 election is that Republicans only need to flip a handful seats to send the do-nothing liberals packing.
“There are 31 seats that Democrats sit in today that President Trump carried,” House Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy said. “Of those 31, 13 of them President Trump carried by more than six points. So, here you have the socialist wing of the party trying to take them further left, when the only way they have the majority is actually winning in Republican areas — areas that would be swing districts.”
Liberal Democratic Party leaders such as Speaker Nancy Pelosi promised a “Big Blue Wave” that would sweep the GOP out of the majority in 2018. Her now radicalized party managed to regain a somewhat slim majority in the House in part due to numerous Republican retirements. The GOP suffered a staggering 41 retirements, including leadership members such as Paul Ryan and Trey Gowdy, among others. Despite the high attrition rate of Republicans in 2018, they retained 198 seats, requiring only 218 for a majority.
The “Small Blue Trickle” has shown that Democrats are far more concerned with power-mongering than doing the people’s business. Since the 2016 elections, Democrats have wasted most of their bandwidth attacking President Donald Trump, and have not passed a single meaningful piece of legislation. In fact, the only measures that have made it into law are those backed and initiated by Trump.
“That’s why they have an internal fight going on,” McCarthy said. “They haven’t accomplished anything. Even, in fact, you had Congresswoman AOC’s own chief of staff put a tweet out challenging any Democratic voter to name one thing the Democratic majority in the House accomplished for the kitchen table, then went on to question this ‘legislative genius’ — referring to Speaker Pelosi.”
Of course, AOC’s signature piece of legislation — the Green New Deal — earned a vote and garnered not a single ‘yes’ vote by either party. That lack of success has, once again, earned Democrats the “Do Nothing Party” label. The “resist” and “obstruct” rallying cry after the 2016 election that saw President Trump win the presidency has not played well with moderate voters who want lower taxes, better schools, reduced crime, and the crisis at the southern border to be resolved.
“So, if you sit back and you look at the last election, there’s not one reason why the Republicans lost the majority, but there are a couple. The first one being history, meaning that historically whichever party wins the White House, that party normally loses an average of 30 seats in the off-year election. Barack Obama lost 63. Twenty-three seats was our majority, so just history would beat us. We had more retirements than ever,” McCarthy added. “But if you look at those 74 seats that make up the swing of a majority in Congress, these are the 74 seats that Charlie Cook identifies, the difference between Republican vote and Democrat vote is one percent. The difference between myself serving in the minority and serving in the majority is less than 107,000 votes.”
The same cyclical history that generally bodes well for the minority party appears to favor Republicans in the upcoming election. But the issue that sweeps Democrats out of all three branches of government may be the radicalized faces of its party. The so-called “Squad” (Reps. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Ayanna Pressley, Ilhan Omar, and Rashida Tlaib) of socialist, antisemitic, and anti-American extremists have been media darlings. The once supportive left-leaning and fake news media that backed Democrat leadership has pivoted in favor of the Squad. Democrats are in the midst of a civil war for control of the party’s direction and supporters are not filling their election war chest.
Minority Leader McCarthy single-handedly raised a stunning $33.7 million in July for the GOP, far outpacing Democrats. The Trump campaign raised an almost unprecedented $105 million in the second quarter that can be used toward re-election, again, far outpacing the efforts of former President Obama for his re-election bid.
What has the GOP poised to retake the House, while holding the Senate and the White House, is that the party is unified on issues of lower taxes, law and order, immigration reform, supporting the military, and putting Americans first.